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US Dollar Index forecast: DXY holds above 97.00 but bearish bias persists

The US Dollar Index (DXY) traded around the 97.00 level during Thursday’s Asian session, maintaining stability after recent declines. Despite holding ground, the index remains within a descending channel on the daily chart, signaling that the broader bearish bias is intact.

Technical signals favor downside pressure

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stays below the neutral 50 mark, reinforcing negative momentum. Similarly, DXY trades below its nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), suggesting short-term weakness persists.

On the downside, immediate support lies at the 97.00 psychological level, followed by 96.22, the lowest point since February 2022 and touched on September 17. A sustained break lower would expose the channel’s lower boundary near 95.10.

Potential rebound levels in focus

For the upside, the nine-day EMA at 97.32 remains the first key resistance. A breakout above this barrier could improve short-term momentum and allow the index to retest the descending channel’s upper boundary near 97.90, which is also aligned with the 50-day EMA at 98.03.

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