Solana is currently trading within a narrow range between $117.3 and $128.8 as of December 19, reflecting a cautious stance among market participants. After months of heightened volatility, investors are now questioning whether SOL has finally established a reliable price floor.
With the final weeks of 2025 approaching, key technical levels are gaining importance and are likely to shape the short-term outlook for Solana.
Current market conditions
At present, Solana (SOL) is hovering around $125.9, attempting to stabilize after a sharp corrective move. The token has lost nearly 10% over the past week, highlighting sustained selling pressure. However, a modest daily gain of 0.1% suggests that some buyers are cautiously re-entering the market.
This mild rebound follows an aggressive sell-off that drove SOL down to the $117 area. The decline coincided with the release of U.S. CPI data pointing to easing inflation, which prompted traders across the crypto market to lock in profits and reduce risk exposure.
A look at the past year
Over the last 12 months, SOL has largely traded within a broad $125 to $250 range. While price action has occasionally pushed above the upper boundary, these breakouts have proven unsustainable, with SOL repeatedly returning to the same zone. This behavior has reinforced $125 as a critical long-term support level.
Now that price is hovering just above this threshold, the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers is becoming more pronounced. Despite relatively healthy on-chain activity, weakening momentum indicators suggest that Solana’s near-term direction hinges on whether this support can withstand renewed selling pressure.
Upside scenario
If buyers manage to firmly defend the $125 level, Solana could attempt a recovery toward the $150–$160 region in the short term. This area has historically seen heavy trading activity and may attract profit-taking sellers. For any rally to gain traction, stronger volume and renewed buyer conviction will be essential.
At this stage, trading volumes point to indecision, which may cap upside momentum. Still, holding above $125 keeps the short-term SOL outlook tilted cautiously to the upside.
Downside risks
Failure to maintain support at $125 would expose Solana to further downside. Most technical outlooks identify the $110–$120 zone as the next key support area. A decisive break below this range could open the door for a deeper move, potentially dragging prices under the $100 mark.
Such a decline would likely trigger stop-loss orders and forced liquidations, amplifying volatility across the market.
Solana price outlook at current levels
For now, Solana’s price prediction centers on the market’s ability to defend the $125 support. While strong fundamentals continue to underpin the network, technical pressure and broader market uncertainty are limiting upside potential. As 2025 draws to a close, volume trends and momentum indicators will remain critical signals in determining SOL’s next major move.
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